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Li Xiao: the property market is reversing or rebound?
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from a market perspective, the market has its own rationality warming: First, after observing the rigid demands so much time, does have real estate price of loose, and the market outlook regulatory effect is not good, it became buyers into the market reasons; Second, gold, nine silver ten traditional strong sales season, after all, this year 4 <span lang="EN-US" month demand -month period xml:lang="EN-US"> -9 been suppressed, and now just need to release is reasonable.
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with these statistics is accompanied by controversy about whether the property market to pick up, media professionals talking about, but I would prefer to use the bounce or reversal said the property market to pick up only appearance description trend without judgment, and bounce and reverse is not the case, the concept is clear, the rally is only temporary, while the reverse is the development direction of the trend.
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So, I think the Government will further introduction of new regulatory policies, as long as there is a new policy, the qualitative performance of the market, cautious approach should be rebound. In fact New Deal regulation has never been interruption. Public opinion on the question of suffering mortgage policy is indeed more and more tightly closed, the building housing the Ministry of affordable housing and land inventory of unused new regulations are endless, but the key point is to catch the implementation issues that, if not in place,<a href="http://www.dgmodular.com/pricelists/images/baggu-nihon-outlet-175.html">サンローラン 激安</a> http://www.dgmodular.com/pricelists/images/baggu-nihon-outlet-175.html, but the introduction of the New Deal in waste of time and resources. The market's reaction will only reverse the direction towards the development of.
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my judgment is: no. The Government will introduce further regulation of the New Deal, the reason is very simple, warming causes property policy is nothing more than either drug not sick, or do not put in place, there now seems so. This regulation means to suppress demand-driven, demand can be suppressed but could not be eliminated, suppressed demand may be immediate, but in time, will eventually strike back. But the market is so fast counterattack, management believes that unexpected surprise.
the current market trend is a step forward toward this question point, from April to October just less than six months, was referred to as 'the history of the most stringent regulation', faced with the danger of bankruptcy, the policy makers are ironic, ecological market has completely broken. If no new policies, the market is expected to completely deteriorate, the government's credibility will be completely bankrupt. "
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determine the current market rebound or reversal performance is to be traced, is what led to changes in the market, the answer is the policy control, regardless the four countries last year or this year's ten countries. Since the policy is the fundamental cause of the phenomenon, it is necessary to follow the trend analysis to determine the policy, so if the market is evolving, whether the Government will sit idly by?
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7 month, the Shanghai commercial housing turnover showed a sharp rise, 8 month deal Area 70 square meters, and the data in May is 30 I Wan, now 9 months ago three weeks already reached 70 million, and fully exceeded a million possibilities.
but these two have a deep-seated causes of commonality: the market is not optimistic about the regulation is expected to continue to rise, which involves the execution is not in place matter of fact this is the second biggest difference with the previous regulation where, from the outset, the parties suffered questioned that this regulation will be doomed to fail, and repeat the mistakes of the previous regulation,<a href="http://gsfsst.org/_graph/coach-bags-outlet-48.html">コーチ アウトレット</a> http://gsfsst.org/_graph/coach-bags-outlet-48.html, the more stressed the more up.
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