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2007 year, the China pork prices suddenly rose nearly 100%, resulting in the CPI or larger. At that time, to see a joke: the sand monk to the pig said: "the two brothers, now you meat than master of meat are valuable." The two day, they see this joke, many years later, if we see this blog, may recall 2011 year once because of the sharp rise in pork prices led to Chinese inflation with rising power new.
1, although Chinese total economy is the world's second, but the overall strength of China and lack of confidence.
a lot of prices of agricultural products, production cycle of only one year, so the price will soon reverse. In the case of garlic garlic last year,<a href="http://www.silvaspastry.com/images/_vti_log/coach-baggu-pop-outlet-223.html">コーチ アウトレット</a> http://www.silvaspastry.com/images/_vti_log/coach-baggu-pop-outlet-223.html, the eastern Chinese Township, Jinxiang County in Shandong Province, last year because of low yield and social capital hoarding speculation,<a href="http://www.najaboxers.com/images/celine-nihon-outlet-12.html">セリーヌ バッグ</a> http://www.najaboxers.com/images/celine-nihon-outlet-12.html, prices rose. But this year the local purchase price has dropped to 1.4 yuan / jins, farmers heavy losses. Last fall, cotton prices plummeted, but the first half of this year, have been yindie. Although China arable land has been occupied by real estate construction, but the number is far less than the change point, and various agricultural products Chinese yield because the seeds, fertilizer and other reasons, has been on the rise, so once a certain agricultural product prices rose sharply, production will soon rise. At present, because the cotton, sugar and other agricultural products become the futures market trades, need not yield the actual cash, as long as the planting area, production and other information more clearly, the futures market price early reaction.
the price of pork has recently been concerned about investment director, chief economist, many economists and A stock market, because inflation is currently the key indexes that influence Chinese macroeconomic. We can say with certainty, as long as inflation is not alleviated, Chinese tightening monetary policy (is actually false austerity, real neutral) will not change. If the price of pork will make many people anxious, I illustrate several problems:
rising pork prices and agricultural products are very similar, from 2007 to 2008 pork prices, pork supply substantial growth in 2009, and the 2009 and 2010 pork prices fell sharply, then more many pig farmers loss. So many farmers lose money selling pigs, swear not to raise a pig, some hapless sows killed. So, this year's rise in pork prices is the inevitable result. The next few months the price of pork dropped significantly, I also see can be expected. But once again the collapse is unlikely, because the rising pork prices rising new factor.
in my primary school in rural Jiangsu on time, I found, either rapeseed, or peppermint oil, or is the price of soybeans, whenever the first year special low price, second years local farmers will significantly reduce the value of an area, then second years because of low yield and price rise. Vice versa, now I'm in the market sometimes like the reverse operation, like reverse thinking in a lot of things, and then not unrelated observation.
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