for import Chinese food, agriculture minister Han Changfu recently wrote an article pointing out that, starting from the Chinese conditions, we can only choose the appropriate import variety regulation, but not dependent on imports. We must strive to maintain self-sufficiency of grain of rice, wheat, corn and other rate at around 95%. I think, if Chinese 30% grain from the international import, then at least the international grain price should be 30 times more than doubled, we are able to afford expensive than it is now 30 times the food? When China CPI may have more than 20%. So China food must provide for oneself.
from the international food situation, in 2011 January, global food price index reached 231, a record in 1990 since the establishment of the new fao. The international food production is also due to Russia, Eastern Europe once banned wheat exports, flood once every hundred years also makes Australia the major grain exporting countries cut, American Midwest and Argentina and other major grain producing areas is also affected by extreme weather face cuts. This shows that, if this year's domestic wheat production cuts, rely on imports to ease the move of international demand has been very limited space.
and CPI in Chinese agricultural products is the first great weight (37% to >
I think, this year the possibility of China rising food prices is very large, in the face of fierce international market prices rise, the domestic commodity market "passive" follow up is inevitable. Because of American government has pursued a policy of low interest rates, the liquidity of international market is still loose, which greatly enhanced the financial attributes of the commodity, coupled with the disaster on the global poor weather conditions, frequent,<a href="http://www.laramiecountyrepublicanparty.com/events/mcm-japan-t-39.html">MCM 店舗</a> http://www.laramiecountyrepublicanparty.com/events/mcm-japan-t-39.html, major wheat producing countries China spring drought is not decreased, as the commodity market of international hot money and fund market vane is constantly layout in value in the agricultural products, which formed the basis for the rising prices of agricultural products.
In February 8th, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) warned that,<a href="http://www.camaroclubkc.com/images/_vti_log/bottega-veneta-sayihu-t-41.html">ボッテガヴェネタ 長財布</a> http://www.camaroclubkc.com/images/_vti_log/bottega-veneta-sayihu-t-41.html, as the world's largest producer of wheat, China is facing a severe drought, which may affect the world grain market. Affected by this, a 30 month high of 8 America wheat futures hit, this shows that the international market is worried about the Chinese for wheat production and import a lot of food, so as to further exacerbate tensions in international food. I think, if this year Chinese food because of drought, resulting in domestic food prices in 2011, the Chinese CPI lasts high, this will have a negative impact on the high prices China. So, determine prices in 2011 prices is not sure.
early last year, China around the north and South are also suffered a series of natural disasters, and China total grain output has increased by 3% since 2011, natural disasters occurred mainly in the non major grain producing areas, has little influence on the total output of grain. However, China drought occurred this year early, lasted for a long time, the biggest threat to spring drought, drought hit area, mainly occurred in the main producing areas. If according to the current drought, this year is expected to yield than normal year will be cut 1700000 tons. If the drought continues to extremes in April, winter wheat yield decline even more than 10000000 tons.
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